Article by Spencer Lindsay, March 28, 2015
Later this session, the Supreme Court will hear arguments and rule on gay marriage cases from Michigan, Ohio, Tennessee and Kentucky. There has been a swift change on how the general public and the courts feel about the issue over the past decade. Forty states now have legal gay marriage, much of the legalization coming from the courts. Thirty-one of those have legalized gay marriage since 2012. In Perry v. Hollingsworth the court upheld a ruling stating that outlawing gay marriage was unconstitutional under the equal protection clause, and therefore must be made legal in California, but only on the technicality that those suing the state did not have Article III standing. In US v. Windsor the Supreme Court ruled that the Federal Government must recognize gay marriages from states that have legalized it. This has lead to many states having US district and appellate courts rule that their bans on gay marriage are unconstitutional, and these cases are about to be heard and voted on.
Public opinion has also rapidly shifted on gay marriage. In 2015 a CNN/ORC poll found that 63% of Americans supported gay marriage. 15 years earlier, in 2000, only 34% of Americans supported it. The CNN poll also found that even 42% of Republicans, who have traditionally been opposed to it, support it now. The poll also found that 70% of people under 50 support it. It is clear that the tide is changing on the issue, and given the recent legal history of the issue and quickly changing public opinion it is hard to imagine the court ruling that states have the constitutional authority to ban gay marriage.
Justice Kennedy has voted in favor of gay rights in all three landmark cases he has faced and it is hard to believe he would not do so this time. Also with the 2013 set of cases, the precedents favoring legalization seem to become too much to ignore. While there are no certainties when it comes to the Supreme Court, this cases seems to be as close to possible to a certainty on such a landmark (set of) case(s) and many would be utterly shocked if the court did not rule in favor of gay marriage. In this article, we will take a look back at the supreme court cases that have lead us to this point.
Pierce v. Society of Sisters (1925)- Oregon had created a law making it mandatory for all children to attend public school, thus outlawing private school. The Supreme Court ruled that this was a violation of substantive due process because parents have an inherent right to decide how their children should be educated, and the state entering this part of the family sphere was a violation of their liberty. We see here that the court begins to recognize a certain protection of family life and gives individuals great liberty in deciding how they govern it.
Hirabayashi v. United States (1943)- The court ruled that curfews for Japanese Americans were constitutional, at the time, because the US was at war with Japan. While the outcome may have been terribly racist, the decision established a process that would actually benefit struggles against discrimination. The Court established that race was a ‘suspect classification,’ and that any rule dealing with race or another suspect classification was subject to strict scrutiny, meaning that the government had demonstrate that they had a compelling state interest to create such a law. This basically paves the way for the legal side of the civil rights movement and plays a large role in gay rights cases. Sexual Orientation is a quasi-suspect class meaning laws regarding it are subject to heightened (or intermediate) scrutiny.
Brown v. Board of Education (1952)- This is perhaps the most famous case in the history of the court, and brought an end to segregation because it was a blatant violation of the equal protection clause. It struck down previous doctrine of ‘separate, but equal’ because race is a suspect class and by segregating schools the state was inherently hindering black students. A similar equal protection argument would lead to the legalization of gay marriage in California in Perry v. Brown/ Perry v. Hollingsworth in a district court ruling in 2011.
Girswold v. Connecticut (1965)- This may well be the most important decision the Supreme Court has ever issued because it created the right to privacy. Connecticut outlawed contraceptives and the court ruled that this violated the due process clause because the state had no right to be involved in that particular sphere of people’s lives. It established that there are certain matters that are private and that the law cannot interfere with these.
Loving v. Virginia (1966)- The court outlawed laws against interracial marriage. The court found that marriage is a fundamental right, and that under the equal protection clause the state could not deny marriage to interracial couples. The legal reasoning in the set of cases before the court today may be almost identical.
Lawrence v. Texas (2003)- The court struck down anti-sodomy laws, largely aimed at same-sex couples, in Texas and thirteen other states under the due process clause citing a right to sexual privacy. Again, the court found that what goes on between two consenting adults is none of the government’s business.
United States v. Windsor (2013)- The court struck down the Defense of Marriage act defining marriage, from a federal standpoint, as between a man and a woman. They found that it was unconstitutional because it violated a due process clause by denying couples of the legal rights associated with their legal marriages (provided they were married in states in which same sex marriage was legal). The law denied equal protection to same-sex couples.
The question before the court now is whether or not individuals have the right to enter into a same-sex marriage, meaning that it would be illegal for states to ban it. There are several arguments the court could make as to why individuals have this right. The decision could focus on the right to privacy, the right to marry, equal protection, and even our conception of liberty as Pierce did and Lawrence, at times, came close to doing. No matter what the exact reasoning is it is very likely that the court will rule in favor of same-sex marriage. Justice Kennedy (often seen as the swing justice) wrote both the Lawrence and Windsor decisions, and it seems almost certain that the alliances that brought us Windsor and Perry in 2013 will bring us another greater victory for